Well, the
least we can say is that the financials for INT ending Dec 31st were
far from being stellar…
So, what is
to be done on Monday morning?
There are 2
possibilities: you can sell if you think that INT share will be tanking rapidly
and that there are simply no possibilities for any come back OR you can look at
the storm comes in (if there is any) and hope for better days.
The actual
problem is not only revenues but very high expenses that do not seems to stop
and the payables that seems to be accumulating at high speed.
Any simple
look at the documents filed on sedar shows that INT is in a very difficult
situation at this time (based upon Dec 31st results). Even if I will
not go into them all, I would definitely suggest you do so at this time.
Now is
there any hope? It might well be some IF contracts really start generating very
good income. Based upon the last AGM and some NR, INT was indicating that all
new opportunities will be geared toward generating revenues.
Will they
be able to sign those deals? Will they be able to spin off Itibiti as they have
mentioned? Will they be able to spin out
Ortsbo as everyone is expecting it?
There are
actually too many questions unanswered and if I was only looking short term I would
say that INT will have major difficulties coming back, from where they are
actually, toward profitability.
Is this
impossible, no but odds are now against
them and unless something major happen, I do not see share price going back to
the level it was 1 year ago and it could even be difficult to get back over 25
cents.
On the
other hand and as far as I am concerned, I would not be selling early on Monday
because the storm that may start could be simply kind of tree shaking. The reasoning
behind that is that normally market knows that kind of bad results and we
should have seen already a major sell-off on Thursday or Friday but nothing
major happened.
What is still
interesting is the private placement of an extra 1M$ that should be closing
soon and the 2,5M$ that just closed a couple of weeks ago. It is very difficult
for me to imagine that those who subscribed the last one did not know the exact
INT financial position and if future was not holding anything positive for INT
why in the world would they invest that kind of money in INT?
So, in
conclusion, INT was at Dec 31st in a very bad financial position and
I think that contracts signed may have generated some income in Q3 2013. To
what extend? Very difficult to know and can only guess at this time.
One thing
is sure, if INT does not reduce expenses dramatically and increase revenue
rapidly, they will be facing difficult decisions to be taken and their future
could be compromised.
So at this
time I will recommend HOLDING any position that you are comfortable with still
knowing that INT is now HIGH RISK and speculative.
As usual,
do not invest more than you can afford to lose in ANY COMPANY and always take
some profit when possible.
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