UPDATE TVI

As expected TVI has completed another shipment adding a 8,2M$ to revenues this year.

As usual it was on time and in line with expectations.

http://www.tvipacific.com/Investors/news/News-Release-Details/2010/TVI-Pacific-Announces-Completion-of-Seventeenth-Shipment-of-Copper-Concentrates-Produced-at-Canatuan1122804/default.aspx

URGENT ALERT YRCW

Another very high call to put option ratio.

The volume is unusual and based on that info, the stock is to make a move and based upon the number of call, it is expected to climb significantly.

ALERT TVI

Expect another shipment this week (probably before wednesday).

This one should be close to 8,5M$ if total DMT is in line with other shipments.

2 more shipments for this year and again TVI will have delivered what they planned for.

Still a mystery as to why share price does not reflect true value of the company but thank god it is giving us more time to accumulate.

UPDATE YRCW

Up to now volume has been under my estimation and gain lot less than expected.

Seems that many shorters are not that nervous and regular investors are still nervous.

2 more hours to go and still expect 0,335.

A gain is a gain but will see tomorrow if trend continues or it would finally be only a bubble...

UPDATE YRCW

Pre market volume is really good as is the sahre price nearing the 0,36 with over 3.5M share already traded.

This could be the first day of a great leg up. Expect over 0,45 today

URGENT ALERT YRCW

Based upon their last NR, YRCW could be headed much higher monday morning.

After hours high were close to 0,40 to settle at 0,36.

What is really interesting in here is the fact that over 120M shares are shorted at this time and i think all of them read the news friday.

So if i was them, i would be running to cover first thing monday and see where it stop. But do not get fooled take some profit along the way up.

Then combine the latest NR with Q3 that would be released about nov 4th (curiously  1 day before NASDAQ delisting decision) where YRCW should have made a net profit over 15M$ and the fact that NASDAQ WILL NOT delist YRCW and will extend a grace period to allow them to complete their RS then you see the huge potential for gains this week.

Be sure to watch the volatility and if YRCW was to close at the high of monday's session get ready for 2-3 more GREAT trading days.

Not far ago their volume was well above 100M shares per day and i expect the same at least for the coming week until YRCW disclose the agreement with teamsters that i think will be excellent. Thos guys know very well that YRCW MUST survive and with all the shares they will get they will be the first to cash in.

So all combined, we have a good company, a good bunch of syndicatd employees and they both wants to succeed in this survival plan. Guess what: they will succeed.

So get ready early monday as it will be a hell of a trading day.

Do not forget my friends at

http://www.mystockbuddy.com/

UPDATE TVI

We are now in a situation where more Market makers will be able to accept bids and ask (complete calls) for TVI.

Normally this results in a higher volume and better prices. Last Friday TVI closed at 0,098 US meaning close to 0,105 CA.

I would not be surprised to see share price going over 0,10 today.

ALERT YRCW

YRCW options were abrnormally high last friday and thursday as the number of call far exceed the number of put. Most of the time this situation indicates a move in share price. Because of high call to put ratio i suspect we could see a very good leg up in share price.

UPDATE on TVI

Another good volume day. It is a bit slower than last couple of days but results are good. Any increase in share price is good...

Interesting to note that i am not the only one that think TVI is a good play:

http://www.benzinga.com/press-releases/10/09/c475062/small-caps-offering-value-investment-idea-of-the-week-tsx-bev-nyse-imn

See for yourself.

UPDATE TVI

I am more a fundamental value investor type and contrarian than a technical one but very interesting to see that TVI has surpased the 13 and 50 days average still sitting on the 200 dma.




If it was ever to get to 0,95 it would have cross it in the green territory.



The coming weeks will be really interesting.

François

do not forget my friends at http://www.mystockbuddy.com/



Have a good day.

UPDATE TVI

Is this the beginning of a new leg up ?

For the past couple of days wolume has increased a lot giving me the impression that hoever was dumping his share is done and that the OTCQX is beginning to create some interest in the USA.

Never the less TVI has moved from 0,075 to 0,09 today on high volume and crossed the 50 DMA.

With the next shipment in sight and copper price at great price, it will be a boost to TVI.

ALERT USA BANKS

Expect a good leg up starting today on all major banks. Just let some time (15-20 minutes) for market to stabilize and then look for some interesting positions on BPOP   WFC   ETFC.

ALERT YRCW

Even if this one is not out of the wood yet (they have to appeal the NASDAQ delisting decision) it is important to note that during the last 30 days 7 analysts upgrade their EBITDA for Q3 and Q4 and 8 did the same for the fiscal year.

This maybe a good sign as only 1 downgraded EBITDA for Q3 and none for Q4 or year end.

Very positive and most of them also increase their earnings per share in the last 30 days.

Be careful and do not forget to take some profit to avoid leaving too much money on the table...

New page

There is a new page UNDER THE RADAR for those who want to know where i could be heading after the next Star Found gives us enough fuel to find another one.

François

do not forget my friends at

http://www.mystockbuddy.com/

AIR Canada is on the fly

Another good jump yesterday and before market opens it seems we may encounter the same thing today.

One very important thing is even if i know this stock is totally under valued, do not forget to take some profit during the run. Nothing is more unpleasant than leaving some money on the table. If you bough at about 1,80 well this is now the time to cash in some of it.

Have a good trading day

François

ps: do not forget my friends at

http://www.mystockbuddy.com/

BALABAG results analysed

Well, as usual this report did exactly what TVI was saying it would do.

It is defining a 50,000 gold ounces. Enough to start up a mill and slowly increase capacity thereafter (500 tons per day at beginning).

I used the word 'defined' until the final 43-101 is completed we should not use the word 'proven' or 'ressources'  because since the Bre-x scandal these words are reserved to whoever does the final 43-101 and they could face lawsuits if they were to declared the 'defined 50,000 gold ounces' as proven ressources..

Some mentionned that results were low but if you look at 2008 Lafleur 43-101 they are very similar in % and the only places where gold % per ton was lower has been in the extensions of the defined area being less important at this time.

I have seen many comparisons between TVI and some others like Medusa mining. Sure Medusa have greater gold % but do not forget that they are not an open pits mining corp and they are drilling near 400 meters in depth and in comparaison TVI is less than 150 meters. This could cause a major difference in results.

So again the future of TVI is great and Balabag will increase the inner value of this company.

As for the share price: who knows. The only sure thing is for the stock to move a lot higher it will need a lot more than 1/10 of 1% of their shares traded in 1 day. (today 527K shares represents about 0,1% of total shares outstandings)

Those days you almost have to convinced investors and market makers one by one and without a doubt they will achieve that goal. They were in Atlanta and New york today speaking to important investors. TVI only need 1 or 2 that will decide to invest some 100,000$ to get the share price moving in the right direction. How long will it take? Well your guess is as good as mine but because of the fact that TVI is totally undervalued it is still one of my best picks for 2010 and whenever the final 43-101 confirm the ressources i will probably already make TVI one of my best picks for 2011.

PS: take time to visit my friends at:

http://www.mystockbuddy.com/

Here is a link to TVI discussion in the USA and you will see that it is getting more and more coverage.

http://www.mystockbuddy.com/forum/showthread.php?p=88985#post88985

Have a great night

François

ALERT YRCW

Lot of activity today and great increase in volume.

Looks like it is establishing a new base around 0,28 and still high resistance at 0,29

Looks very good if it can close over 0,29

ALERT TVI

Balabag report is out.

More analysis to come tonight but it is VERY positive.

Have a great trading day

Market update

Are we out of the wood and out of sideways trading?

If job report coming this friday is great, expect finally a very great leg up in the market in general.

Expect very good leg up from DAN and PXLW as manufacturing results were way over expectations.

As for TVI still awaiting the press release to confirm what we already know. But that is normal whenever you work with lawyers and regulators (they most probably want to be sure of the exact wording used). Since Bre-X scandal it is getting complicated to release news about drilling and especially about gold.

Be patient it will come and i do expect a great but no surprise reports. 50,000 ounces of gold is still a lot of gold.

Happy trading all