Gold: expect a rebound from here

What a drop gold has suffered in the last couple of sessions.

My opinion: shorting it as if there were no tomorrow.

I personally think it is way oversold and i expect a turn around tomorrow and Monday.

Have fun!

OIL IS UP NEXT ONE IS GOLD

As previously mentioned the OPEC deal has been agreed. What it really means is that members have agreed to agree on some kind of a deal that we do not have all the details.

Will oil continue to climb: yes but this could be a maybe as details have not yet emerged.

Next one is gold with the recent events at the deutsche bank that could send markets on a downward spiral.

Time will tell but i expect a great increase in gold value and add in a survey showing that Mr. Trump takes the lead, it could create a small storm into the markets.

Have fun

interest rate: hike or not ?

I believe there will not be a hike until December as reports from USA do not suggest any base for a hike in September and anything els is only fear and rumors.

Only a guess but.....i would be greatly surprise if FED was to hike interest until then.

ALERT ALERT MAJOR OIL DRAW

If report is true, tomorrow morning report of oil inventory will indicate a draw over 10M barrels in a week.

If that is to be true, then expect violent stock price movement until  the  report  is  official  around   11 A.M.

This could be the largest draw since 1985

Stay tune for official news.

Gold: where is the bottom

Gold is on a freefall and volatility is high.

Expect perturbations with rapid price movement for the coming months.

If September 2nd job report is under expectation (under 175,000) gold could rebound rapidly in a close to violent move as it could signal not intérêts hike until end of December and a drop in US dollar value.

As of now, stock also tend to take for granted that elections winner will be Hilary Clinton. Now what would happen is Donald Trump was to take lead in some areas???

My take is that August job report has never been that good so i expect a job report under expectation.

Expect high volatility and have fun 

RAD Expect higher volatility

We are getting very close to a decision about the merger with WBA and because of the fact that there is still some possibilities that this deal would be rejected, i expect a lot more volatility between 6,50$ and 7,35$.

As of now no decision has been made and based upon declarations from RAD, i expect the decision to be positive and the go ahead given with conditions to sell some assets along the way.

This could simply move further the merger date to early 2017 allowing time for them to get rid of the assets needed to allow the transaction.

If that was to happen, expect a higher range of trading and lot more profit to be made.

But be careful as price could get down a lot more and closer to 4$ if the delay is longer than a quarter.

Have fun

Oil is on fire.........

I know bad choice of words but could not resist....

Some time ago i insisted on the fact that oil would recover mainly because major producers could not stay in business with oil under 40$.

We are now on the verge of a major agreement between Russia and the Saudies.

My guess is that balance oil price is around 60$ and that oil will get there before end of this year.

But in any case, during that tim eit will be interesting to play the swings from oil on large Canadian companies like MEG.TO and SU.TO

I still own large number of shares in MEG and i sold out SU mainly because MEG is a lot more volatile and easy to play.

Have fun

Will Rite Aid merger get finally the go ahead signal?

Based upon rumors and smoke signals it would seem that it wont get approved.

But any problem are to be reported and as mentioned by management on their last results report:

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If that merger was to be in jeopardy, it would be a material event to be disclosed to avoid being misleading and opening the door to lawsuit.

Fo sure the trade commission will force the selling of many many of their stores to avoid any business advantage and it is also certain that CVS will do its best to get the deal rejected.

As far as i am concern, this deal will get approved mid September with conditions that Rite Aid And Walgreen will accept.

During this time expect higher volatility based upon rumors and ear say.

So invests with that in mind.

Have fun

Construction sector is red HOT

As previously mentioned, the construction sector in the US is hot and the last data from this morning should reflect on the construction sector companies like BZH, KBH and my preferred one HOV.

HOV is my preferred as this is the underdog that has been undervalued for years mainly because of its debt but close to 2B$ in tax credit is most of the time forgot.

I am sticking on it anc this is the time to get back in with a sell price at 2,15$ within the next month..

Have fun 

Will that rally last ?

Expect some good gains to come and watch out for a correction.

I will start selling today and pocket large part of my recent paper profits and then wait for an interesting correction.

Dow at 18k has never last that long and i do think it is overbought at this time as earning season approaches and i do not expect major profit increase.

Naturally i could be wrong but i prefer to pocket some profit and then lose some than the opposite.

There will be some bargain hunting coming down our way within a couple of weeks.

Stay tuned!!!

Up Down or nowhere

We will start experimenting  weird trading pattern today.

Gold to retreat, oil to do the same and stocks going nowhere.

There are many uncertainties in regard or the UK leaving the EU as it would seem that all those in charge of this exit are now leaving the boat stating <
How could they say that. The vote has been casted but as far as i know UK is still part of the EU and this will continue to rock markets.

As for oil and gold, this will continue to be paradise for the traders giving the fact that market has no direction to go.

Also VERY important is the fact that DOW is now very close to the 18K mark and could face a small retreat.

So be careful and remember that for this moment cash is king.

Have fun

Tesla: is the party over???

What a strange move from Tesla. It bought what????? SOLAR ????

When you invest in a car company you expect that company to design build and sell cars.

Not exactly what's behind it latest move.

Could i say that investors will not agree and get out?

Based upon early trading this is exactly what is happening and i am not surprised.

So for the moment being stay out of there. Party is over.

Be careful

With Britain vote coming up rapidly expect highly volatile market.

Expect major ups and down in regard of oil and gold.

Get ready for any occasion as during the following days, cash will be king to grab any short term opportunities.

No matter what, i would not be fully investing come the vote results. I still expect markets to react negatively either side of the vote but naturally downsize will be larger if YES win than the opposite.

Have fun

What to expect next week

Well, BREXIT will definitely be the one thing everybody will talk about.

Will Britain leave or not??? That is the question.

Now, based upon that nightmare, Gold will definitely be a momentum play early this week but even if actual scores would lead you to think Britain will exit, my guess is that this will not happen.

IF that does not happen, gold will get back to actual value and even a bit lower and stocks will NOT get a lot higher. Stocks have already taken into account the possibility and it could be more of a buy the rumor and then sell the news.

IF that does happen, stock will decline massively for 1 or 2 days then will recover.

So my play is early Monday buy gold and play on uncertainty only to sell either at 10% gain in a couple of days or late Wednesday.

I will also make sure i have plenty of cash ready just in case this vote is a yes and then take the opportunity to do some bottom fishing on stocks like DAN, LVS and MPEL (highly volatile in those circonstances)

So get ready for a week full of interesting happenings.

Have fun

Will Suncor continue to shop around for great deals?

It would seems so based upon their latest announcement in regard of a 2,9B$ shares bought deal.

By the way it is close to the biggest bought deal in Canada if not the biggest.

What does that mean?

Well that mean any corporation making profit in Canada oil sands sector valued at about that price could become a target to a hostile take over.

My guess: MEG energy   (MEG.TO)

Profitable with a surprise quarter and valued at about 2B$.

Also very interesting is their production price per barrel.

Have fun and have a look into their last quarter release. It could be worthy......

HOV Have we seen the bottom

I think so.

1,65$ to 1,69$ range seems appropriate at this time.

HOV has made promises that it will have now to deliver in regard of earnings. It should generate enough to cover this year to date losses and if accurate i can expect a 2,25$ to 2,45 range during the 3rd quarter.

The question now is: will it deliver?

HOV not really good last quarter But is this that bad?

Well, nice way to miss a prediction.... Instead of a large profit HOV posted a small loss and stock plunged like a rock.

It did however recoup some of the losses today and tomorrow will indicate the real trust investors have toward HOV.

Expect another roller coaster day but there is light based upon their overall results that were in fact not bad at all.

ALERT HOV

On Thursday morning HOV will announce their results and it will be a catalyst either side.

IF HOV was able to generate a profit around 10 cents for the last quarter, expect a positive ride.

If their profit was over 20 cents, well get ready as it will hit the roof.

If no profit, expect 1,40$ or less.

Drum roll please:


I EXPECT between 20 and 30 cents profit and a major share price increase and this is based upon all contributing factors in the USA: low unemployment, higher new home sales and higher price.

I suspect that this trend has started many months ago and that it will reflect on their last quarter.

I also expect a great increase on their backlog and a large increase of that backlog value based on the same reasons.

Will i be right (again)

We shall see by Thursday lunch time.......

Contruction sector is on fire

Based upon today's US report of the construction sector, i would say that my first call about it was correct.

HOV and KBH will be the next one to profit.

HOV already made some good gains from 1,54 late last week to the 1,74 of today.

I still expect HOV to get well over 2$ if results are simply correct but could rally to a new 52 weeks high if results goes ahead of analyst consensus.

I took some profit off the table today but will take a wait and see approach until mid next wee.

Have fun

This coming week

This will be a very very interesting week on many fronts.

Oil: Watch for SUNCOR (SU.TSX) as they will be restarting soon the production and oil has stabilized around 50$ a barrel.

HOV is within 10 days of reporting their last quarter results. What will they be?

Expect highly volatile sessions coming for the next 10 days for the reason that if results were to be over expectations shares could rapidly climb over 2,25$ otherwise they could fall near 1,25$.

Have fun.

Air Canada Normal course issuer bid

Very interesting as Air Canada has renewed their right to repurchase company shares until 2017 for close to 3M of those shares (10% of the total float)

The impact on share price combined with actual results makes me think there is a very good upside for their share price.

So after selling most of those around 9,75 and buying back many at 9,30 and around, i will be accelerating the purchase of those shares as long as the price is under 9,60$

Have fun

June interest hike

Finally, it will eliminate the incertitude about where and when......

Those invested in US$ saw a devise gain today and the trend should continue for a couple of days.

As for oil, Suncor has evacuated staff from their plant BUT i still believe it will be for shorter period than previously announced.

Actual share price indicates a good time to get back in.

As for construction sector, interest hike will not change anything on the next earnings as it was for period ending march.

It sill then be interesting to listen closely to what they have to say in regard of Q3 as Q2 is already well advance.

Have fun

Alert Apple

Apple will surely rise today after Warren Buffet news about his stake in Apple.

BUT be careful, this is a temporary patch on the share price because the reality check is not Warren Buffet BUT the capacity from Apple to create a new revolution and not only another evolution.

BE CAREFUL......

Alert on Air Canada

Expect a rebound on Air Canada shares early this week.

Actual valuation simply does not make any sense.

Get ready

Alert on Canadian Oil Producers

Expect a return to normal earlier than originally thought

Expect SUNCOR (SUN) to restart production within 10 days or earlier.

Time to get back in

This coming week

Construction sector has been hit hard in regard of share price.

HOV has been hammered and sits now at 1,54$ that I suspect will not hold too long.

Same for HBK

I think that we could see an interesting reversal this week as the DOW has been negative for the past 3 weeks.

So in my opinion it is time to get back in those 2 and lets see how goes the week.

My entry point is between 1,50 and 1,59 for HOV with an exit point around 1,80

Have fun

US housing is doing good

So with that in mind have a look at HOV (NYSE) and KBH (NYSE)

Both should be gaining from this morning report and even if HOV is a bit more volatile, it should be the one winning the most.

New high on Dow Jones

Well it seems at first that stocks are in for a great run but i do not believe it.

Stocks are over valued at this time and a small correction is needed.

Look for indices to go nowhere at first then a 200 points drop. Recovery will then starts.

Be extra careful not to get trapped in!

ALERT OIL PRODUCER MEETING IN DOHA

FAIL............A BIG   FAIL

So how do you think oil will react tonight on Asian trading?

Bad.....very bad

Even with a
Is this time to get back in ? Not sure at least probably not Monday UNLESS opening prices were to be crazy (25% or more) but i would be surprised as it would be an over reaction.

Prices should remain at this time around 35$. Anything under would be a good opportunity to get back in with a great profit within 8-12 weeks (June meeting)

Have fun

what to expect on Friday

As i expected oil and gold did retreated a bit today allowing some more profit taking.

I do see the same for tomorrow (Friday) and stocks are on the verge of a small correction toward 17400 or 17500. This is usual.

I am already looking to go and do some bargain hunting for early next week.

Will keep you posted.

Here we are

Ok. Oil volatility is back and same for gold.


US dollar is getting stronger so does stocks.

So how long will that last?

Expect gains again tomorrow for most stocks and early Friday morning. BUT expect also profit taking near the close as NYSE will be very close or a bit over 18k.

Will an oil deal be reached rapidly? Yes but expect reports coming from all directions and going in all direction. Expect a lot more volatility in oil and don
Have fun

Volatility is back

Get ready for high volatility in gold and oil.

It has been a very good 3 weeks and we should be ready to see some ups and down for the next couple of days.

I still expect 50$ oil in a very short term and 1300$ for gold in the same time range.

Good day for gold not so for oil

Gold is recovering good and i expect that trend to continue for a couple more days.

For example i think YRI.TO will get over the 4,25$ mark en route for 4,50 in a short period of time.

Oil will continue to be highly volatile trying to find its real price. With Iran indicating that it will not freeze at January level we could see oil go back to 33$ then stabilize.

On my side, i expect a deal will be reach by the end of avril and that will help oil get back to 50$

Tomorrow is the last day of the week

Because of holidays markets will be closed on Friday.

So what to expect: not a lot......and most probably no direction.

Why: it's Easter and it a long week-end.

Expect low volume and on my side i will try to catch interesting companies that could trade lower due to lack of large buyers.

Companies like YRI.TO   GPR.TO   AC.TO   SU.TO

I was asked recently what i was thinking about Bombardier  (BBD.TO) and at this time i would not touch this one with a 20 feet pole.

Even if it is a great company (at least it was) their recent problems with c series and the fact that most of their reserves went toward that C series and that profitable division were almost forgot including smaller aircraft divisions makes me think that Bombardier is now a C series make or break and my guess is: break or sell to Chinese AFTER a reversal. I am under the impression right now that a 1 for 10 reverse split is in the work and based upon the reasoning for this split, it will not be that profitable and i expect the stock to drop around 70 Canadian cents before split and around 5$ right after.

Not the best investment at this time.

Enjoy your long week end

Totally unacceptable

Today's events are simply unacceptable.

How in the world has the human race able to become so violent. We must find a way to stop that blood shed. There must be a way so let work together and find one.

To all my friends in Belgium my prayers are with you. 

No direction

Market has no direction this morning and we could be on the verge of a drop.

A 200-300 points drop could be foreseen as market has been extending above itself.

So get ready for all sectors to drop a bit.

Get ready

Hope you are ready for a small drop (around 200-300 points) on the beginning of this week.

If market was to turn green again i would be very cautious as it has been a great run for the last 5 weeks.

Same thing for oil and gold.

But be ready as this minor drop will not last and the coming leg up will be very very interesting with a lot of gains to be made in a few days.

Get your cash ready but do not get in all at the same time incase the drop would be higher than what expected.

Have a great monday

TGIF

Very surprisingly in my opinion, the stock market was a lot better than i expected this week on every angles: oil, gold, stocks etc.

Now, i think this rally has become ready for a short correction (3-4%) and this could start on Monday.

IF it goes higher again or goes down just a bit, get ready. We cannot sustain that kind of momentum without a correction.

For the different stocks here are some great news:  AC.TO has hit over 9$......time to profit,   GPR.TO has touched 1,31$ today......again time to profit......................SU.TO has touched a bit over 36.50$.........time to profit

So every where i look now, there is a lot of great $$$$ to cash in tomorrow morning.

Do not be too greedy as occasions will come back and it would be very bad to loose the profit already made on those stocks.

Nobody has never been in trouble for making profit and if you think that ''I could have made a lot more'' is the greatest phrase in the investing world, you are wrong: being greedy is the worst thing  you can do as most of the time you loose out on the long run.

Profit making is all that count and so far in the last 3 months the recommended stocks have gain well over 40%.

Have fun tomorrow and enjoy the week-end.

Be careful here

I think we are ready for a small drop in oil, gold and stocks in general.

Make sure you did take some profit off the table and have some cash ready for Thursday or Friday.

have fun

Coming this week

This week will be more than interesting for all sectors of the market.

Oil will try to establish a new base before trying to get up to the 50$ where it should stabilizes for the year. Expect some volatility there.

Gold is due for a retracement since 2 weeks and it is not ready yet. Be patient it will come.

I am invested as of now on AC.TO     SU.TO     GPR.TO    and HOV (Nyse)

Construction sector in the US is still great and even if at first look it would seems that HOV is in trouble, when you look carefully it is not.

So this week may not bring the largest market swings we have seen recently but get ready to profit on some of those plays and get ready to get back in gold when under 1200$

Have fun

What to expect this week

Ok. So far predictions have been really good and i hope to keep the same momentum.....

I think we will see oil go over the 40$ this week as we approach the OPEC meeting and that a decision will be made to keep January level. Then expect a bit after oil to rise near the 50$ a barrel as i do not believe the inventory results published lately and i expect a drop in inventory by a 5 to 10%.

As for gold it will continue its climb but mostly this week due to profit taking.

As for stock, do not be surprise to see a small decline or gain as it try to find the right direction.

Now, regarding stocks that i have under the radar, AC.TO will decline a bit most probably under the 8$ allowing to get back in.

GPR.TO will continue to move a couple of pennies under or above and if it reaches 95 cents with low volume, i am back in.

SU.TO will be the star this week as i expect a 10-15% gain allowing it to reach the 36$ level.

Let see if i am right again.

Have fun 

Profit taking

It is time to profit from our last trades.

Sold AC.TO at 8,37$ for a very nice profit. (bought at 7,09$ and sold at 8,37$)

Did the same with GPR.TO for a very very nice profit in a matter of days  (bought at 91 cents and sold at 1,08$)

Now cash will be king again next week and i will be ready for the coming opportunities.

Enjoy your week end

Interesting pick GPR.TO

There is a company that i had looked in the past and made some great profit on is Great Panther.

It has touched 1,05$ recently and has retraced since.

This morning it is hovering around 0.90 and is beginning to look interesting again.

So i will start accumulating GPR.TO and take some profit on SU.TO

As for AC.TO i will start taking some profit at 8,30$ up to 9$

Have fun 

Air Canada

What a nice upward move from Air Canada today with a 5% increase on huge volume.

That does bold well for the coming days and as i had expected the retracement has started.

I still think the stock could be around 9$ pretty soon.

Have fun

Welcome back volatility

Stocks down, gold up and oil down....What a cocktail

And it's not over yet. I expect wild swings for this week to end up with almost no changes anywhere.

There are so many rumors going on at the same time that it is very hard to decode what is really going on but i still expect an agreement to freeze oil output and this will send some stability to the market.

But as long as this will be going on, will be hard to make up my mind on this week direction if any.

What to expect for this week

This week will be a good week for oil as the expected freeze in output from all major parties is now a lot more close to reality than before and there are even talks about the fact that if IRAN does not rally the group they will go ahead anyways.

Also interesting is the number of US rigs that have been shut down reducing another 200k to 600k barrels per day this year and this should contribute to another good week. I would not be surprise to see oil hovering around 35$ before this week end.

As for gold, it goes with stocks and US dollar value. With the actual economic situation in the US the dollar will continue to be strong and gold will continue to slide a bit toward the 1135 to 1150$.

Stocks should continue to do good this week for investors but volatility is still in the air.

Air Canada is now undervalued

I have started accumulating today AC.TO as i think it is way too oversold. I cannot imagine it will stay at this level simply because the board has decided not to give monthly results anymore.

Sure it has frustrated investors BUT that does not change the company value.

The last time it was at this level was in november of 2013 and did that company changed for the best in 2 years and 3 months.

It has now surpassed its own profit expectation and are on track to generated a lot more this year.

At this level i consider it is a bargain and will continue to accumulate tomorrow if price continues to drop.

My expectation is well above 9$ in the next 2 months. Pretty agressive you may think but look at the charts.

Have fun for the last trading day of the week tomorrow.

Time to get aboard AC.TO

I think that based upon early trading pattern, it is time to start accumulating AC.TO shares.

The comments made yesterday by the CEO did push Air Canada shares to this morning lows (around 7$) but nonetheless the value of Air Canada has nothing to do with the comments.

I still think that AC.TO is oversold and a move toward 8$ to 9$ is going to happen really soon.

Have fun

Oil gaining again

With the recent up moves for oil, the next level to watch for is the 40$.

This level will create a lot of resistance due to profit taking and world oil demand.

I do not see major road blocks to achieve that level but again nobody has ever been in trouble to cash in a profit.

My next sector still under watch is construction and my next stock is AC.TO as this one could be an easy gainer!

Have fun

Air Canada What's wrong ?

Profit numbers and then the stock plunge like hell with a whopping -12.03 on high volume.

What the hell is going on?

If you listen to the conference call there was one thing that was said that did not pleased investors: the end of monthly reporting and the comment that ''We do not run our company for short term investors....''

Could that be the only problem ?

I would guess so and tomorrow will be interesting based upon mid day volume.

I am expecting AC.TO to rebound aa lot from this 7.39 level back to 9$ in a day or two.

So if you have some liquidity and not afraid of volatility, this could be the moment we were awaiting for.

Have fun

Iran agree on oil freeze

So again i was correct on my call and Canadian oil companies did reacted the way i expected.

Is it time to cash in ?

If you don't believe that oil production freeze will stay, then taking some profit could be a good call but i personally think that even if it will be very volatile for the next coming days, i would wait just a day or two before making any exit of those Canadian companies like SU.TO as SU.TO for example could easily reach the 36$ plateau without that much trouble.

On the other hand, nobody has ever been in trouble by taking profit.

Have fun

Deal on oil freeze or cut coming?

Today was a bit of a surprising day as oil price did not went into the direction expected.

It would seem that Iran does not want to freeze or cut production under pre sanctions production and refuse to talk until that level is reached.

I don't believe that for 1 cent. I do think there are talks behind close doors between major oil producers and Iran to grant Iran some advantages should they decide to go with its neighbours.

There is simply no way Saudi Arabia (and many other) will let their country goes bankrupt and continue to cut their annual budget because of oil price or should i say over production.

That is the main reason i do not short this market as it is actually in a phase where even a slight cut would send oil price sky rocket in a blink of an eye. Remember Friday......12% one day on a rumor. Imagine a real cut from all parties....oil would climb back to 38-40$

The rest of the week will be interesting to say the least and i will keep my ears to the ground in case of any rumble.....

Have fun

Asian markets are sending gold down down down

Gold is down 45$ at 1194$ from Asian markets

Will that continue during the night of will gold recoup some of its losses?

I think gold will retest some lows as stocks will be on the rise this week.

So be careful before opening new position on gold companies.

So what's in store for Feb 16th 2016

I think this one is an easy one.....

Gold down
Oil up
Stocks up

I will watch carefully the home sector in the US as it seems that even if selling season for homes is starting now, the overall inventory is down.

If that is to be the case, that sector will be interesting and i will start accumulating.

Especially KBH ,a bit of BZH and HOV

These should have a good momentum is market stays as it is: many buyers bit not that many sellers at this time.

Have fun

Last trading day of the week

I am expecting an interesting session today before a 3 days week end (us and Canadian markets are closed on Monday).

With all the rumors going on actually in the oil sector i would not want to be short comes Monday morning as the potential gain to short this sector is now less interesting than the potential of gain on the buy side.

Gold will most probably end the week on a down note and it is too early to get back in because if oil was to rebound massively on Monday due to a production cut deal, gold would suffer dramatically and could erase most of the gains in 2016. So be careful here.

On the stock sides, at this time we have to factor in the unknown: interest rate hike, negative interest, inflation, oil companies going belly up etc etc etc. So this is too much to think about and i am not convinced we have touched the bottom for this sector.

There are 2 companies that i like a lot for gains in medium terms and they are AC.TO and CHR.B. TO.

2 great aviations companies almost ready to get picked up.......I will start buying back CHR.TO whenever it touches a bit under 5$ and AC.TO at about 7$. Both are offering a great return medium term and CHR.TO is even offering a nice dividend.

Enjoy your long week-end and watch for rapid alerts on tweeter @investman2

 

ALERT SU.TO

Today at 6.21pm something strange did happen on Suncor.

Normally after hour trading is quiet and low BUT SUNCOR is now trading at 1.78$ OVER closing price at 22.90$ (on NYSE )

Is this caused by the persistent rumor to the fact that OPEC have almost conclude an agreement to cut the oil output or only coincidence as other companies did not move?

In any case it will be very interesting to watch out very closely for news tomorrow about Suncor OR about oil deal with OPEC.

Don't forget also that markets are closed in Canada and in the USA on Monday so expect a very very very interesting sessions tomorrow and no doubts the shorts will try to cover their backs.

Have fun.

Bottom in oil and top in gold

It did happen this morning.

On a short term basis, i would now say that oil has bottomed at 26.50$ and gold has peaked at 1240$

That being said it does not mean that volatility is out but we had capitulation at the opening with volume simply incredible on gold and oil.

This week-end could bring in interesting news that will either keep volatility high and even short squeeze some in the oil sector.

Simply imagine this scenario: Yellen meeting today could indicate no more interest rate hike this year bringing some stability on stocks and sending sell signal to gold.

Now simply imagine that the talks looks like in the direction of reducing interest they just raised recently and BANG there you are with gold going down like crazy to value of 3 or 4 weeks ago and would likely help oil stabilizes around 30$.

Put that into Canadian oil producers perspective and there could be large profit looming on a very short term basis.

Let see now how the day goes!

I am out off gold for now

I just sold out my positions on gold in canadian gold companies and will keep an eye on oil especially SU.TO as i still think this morning was the day to profit the most from gold and being ready to increase position in the oil sector.

As expected there is a rumor to the effect that major producers could put a freeze on production and would this way reduce the oil pile up without cutting production.

If that was to be true, it would be a great step in the right direction.

As for Suncor (SU.TO)we shall not forget that this is a totally different companie after they acquired Canadian Oil Sands participation to almost 85%.

Any small increase in oil price will be reflected into Suncor profit.

Watch carefully and have fun!

Watch out for capitulation day

Here we are.

Today could really well be capitulation day and beware of that trap.

This is most probably not the day to get in gold as it is the day to profit cashing on it.

Watch for volume on oil as it could also be the day to get in from gold profits.

Not the time to panic but right day to be excited.

Have fun.

SU.TO short interest

Very interesting to note that short interest on SU.TO has now surpassed 13M shares on January 29th.

What is also interesting is to note the trading that has taken place since then.

It is absolutely incredible to see huge blocks of 200k, 400k and 500k shares moving rapidly at the bid and often at 1 or 2 pennies under the last price.

That looks to me a lot like machine programmed selling and short selling.

That being the case, i would expect the total short interest as of today to be over 15.5M shares (a record for the last 12 months ) and a double from last year.

That being said, look carefully for volume over 6M shares on a uptrend as it could signifies a short covering or even better a short squeeze.

Remember that a short squeeze is the effect of excessive buyers and not enough supply. That could also come from a margin call.

If i was a trader, i am not sure i would stay short when the benefit from these levels are far less than any positive news on the oil side.

I would not be surprised to see very high volume from tomorrow midday to end of session Friday.

We never know what a week end could bring.

Have fun

What to expect tomorrow February 11th 2016?????

For the rest of the week, trading will be highly interesting especially for stock.

I expect stocks to rebound on Thursday and shorts will cover on Friday especially in the oil sector.

Gold will zigzag but should remains mostly down.

Here is why.

In the oil sector, OPEC countries are not at this time interested to cut oil supply to avoid Iran and USA to profit from the upward price movement HOWEVER come countries will easily figure out that they cannot any longer pump oil at a loss on every barrel and will start acting accordingly.

I would not be surprised to see numerous rumors to start in the effect of a 5% output drop and that being the case, shorters will be more interested to cover their butts and avoiding getting squeezed on a Monday morning trying to cope with a 5 to 10% increase on oil barrel meaning a 15 to 20% increase on oil producing companies.

I may be simply dreaming in here but Monday will come fast enough.....

Have fun trading

wow. Gold call was right on

In regard of YRI.TO and G.TO i think the call was right on.

I would wait a bit tomorrow to see if a new entry point is created but it is a bit pricy over 3$.

For the oil sector, traders got a lot of fun today with large volume orders as they probably expect oil to touch 25$.

I do not believe that this will happen tomorrow.

US numbers will most probably show a increase in US oil reserve and if by any luck oil was to go around 25$, well, (no punt intended) that could be a great signal to get in and start getting out a bit over 30$ before the week end.

Have fun

Entry point in gold

I mentioned the fact last week that it was time to get some profit off the table and great if you did even if gold took another good leg up today.

I expect stock to  get back on gains as of tomorrow and gold should retreat creating another good entry point.

Just be cautious as we never know the kind of move stocks can do like the -400 today ending down 177 less than half of early losses.

Be careful as we are on high volatility here.

Value of Canadian Gold companies

Stock value has risen a lot since the past 10 days especially for G.TO and YRI.TO

Now it's time to take profit off the table and wait for retracement as i think gold will retest its low before going back on a up leg.

For YRI.TO expect around 2.60 to 2.70 range and for G.TO expect a range between 16.25 and 17.00$ retracement.

Enjoy your week end

Have we found the bottom in oil?

Well not yet and we need to test the recent lows in a v shape recovery then we could say we bottomed out.

Oil is a different beast. With all the supply right now, we could easily drop to a near 25$ BUT i do not think some OPEC members will let that go and we could be experimenting now kind of retreat from the shorters who are trying to cover their butts before something like that happen.

Pay close attention to the volume as it will be the key indicator of a covering!

Another great day for G.TO and YRI.TO

If you were invested recently in those companies your return has been close to stellar with a 50% return  (almost) from January 18th

I did took some off the table today as i think it is now ahead of itself and a small retrace could happen tomorrow in early trading.

But with all that instability out there, no doubt gold will continue to rise.

So who's next?

We will have a clearer view tomorrow morning.

Very interesting spike for gold

Are you invested in gold companies (G.TO   YRI.TO   KGC.TO  etc) ?

If so, the last couple of days have been good for you. It is not a surprise as normally gold is considered a parking lot for your money when stock market is highly volatile and going in all directions.

Like today where somewhat great numbers came out from ADP payroll number and stocks took another dive.

This is by far the most interesting period for gold especially because of where it stands.

If you did invested in gold and you have a great return % why not take some off the table. There should be great opportunities coming soon on a long term view.

On my radar screen actually are the following: DAN (nyse)  AC.TO   KBH (nyse) to only name a few.

Stay tuned!

ALERT YRI

Unusual trend and volume on YRI.TO

Already 6% gain with high volume.

Could be trader's game but seems interesting.

Are we going into another recession ?

Well, by looking at recent US data, i would stay away at this moment from durable goods corporations and concentrate on gold and oil.

Not exactly the right time for constructions companies like BZH, KBH or alike and even if car sales are really great, avoid parts manufacturer and car makers because the best could been history based upon actual readings.

Naturally it's Friday so anything could happen and traders will probably try to get as much cash possible by taking some profit off the table.

Have a great week-end

Will OPEC members cut down on production

That could create a run for cover for shorters.

If Russia decide to get along with them, well i would imagine pretty easily a 40$ barrel oil and this could mean a great run for companies like SU.TO that has been shorted a lot recently.

That would mean a close to 25% return in a couple of weeks. Not bad actually.

Also watch gold carefully as it could be the next biggest runner up.

Watch companies like YRI.TO and G.TO. they could be great winners especially YRI.TO if you nave the stomach to digest their rolling coaster value especially since they smashed their dividend to 2 cents a year instead of 2 cents per quarter..... Be carefull...

UWN

That gambling (no punt intended) has been interesting lately as it did doubled from my last recommandation.

When you look at their filings it is interesting to note that they did obtain some new licenses and i think 3$ is not that far from being reached.

Not much volume but interesting Corp. to have a look into.

I am back....................

Hello everyone,

Almost 3 years since the last post and must explain that i had to restrain from posting due to past job restrictions (company was a public listed Corp. and had to adhere by their rules). These restrictions have now expired.

While not posting here, it did not mean that i was not following the market and some of the companies i had expressed interest into.

During the coming days and weeks i will revisit all of them to see where they are heading and some of my new finds.

The first one that i would like to discuss is INT.TO but will avoid discussing too much due to some legal actions that could be coming soon in regard of what happen and the incredible number of investors who lost their shirts ''investing'' in that company. I have seen on many other blog sites, questioning as to why no legal actions had ever been taken against them. My answer would be that some time it takes longer than expected but there are rumors.

I was criticized and accused of being an INT.TO  pumper but never did and as a matter of fact never did for any companies nor will i ever.

Time will tell what will happen and what will be the course of actions against them.

NOW........

We have entered a strange market pattern and surprisingly the logic is not there with oil at 29$, gold almost not moving and stock going in all direction.

I suspect that this pattern serves some kind of geo-political agenda and the pressure on the market is not over.

During these time you have the choice of being cash only or invest on the largest corporations in the market as it is a lot more dangerous with smaller cap Corp. that do not have the needed cash to get through these thought times.  

If you like Oil you can go with SU.TO and if you like gold, G.TO is probably a great choice.

If you are still a bit adventurer, YRI.TO is a great choice but be careful as they just cut their dividend by 75% and i expect their last quarter to have been catastrophic (profitability speaking).