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samedi 30 octobre 2010

jeudi 28 octobre 2010

ALERT TVI

Already close to 1M shares traded again today.

Would not be surprised to see it gain momentum till end of the week.

Magic number 0,135 then great leg up

ALERT DAN

Fantastic results from DAN. This one is flying under the radar right now. Expect some churn in the 14.00-14.25$ then the next leg up will start with target price of 16$

UPDATE MB

If volume stays as it was since many days, expect to reach next resistance level of 0,64 today.

UPDATE ON LVS

Was i wrong on LVS...It did lost some steam but it lasted only 1 day.

Some times stock may be almost too hot to handle and i think it is the case of LVS right now.

If you took some profit great otherwise today could be the day to do it. Again do not go excessive: take SOME profit and leave the balance of the shares you own rise on house money. (after all whatever you have now must be close to  0 average cost or under)

mardi 26 octobre 2010

UPDATE MB

WOW! another great day today.

As expected MB is on the move and we could face some resistance up to 0,65. Then thereafter, the level will be be 0,72 then over 1$

I results from Q3 are anything over 120M$ in sales, get ready for a huge jump back in the $ range. If saes are lower than 105M$ expect a pull back from where it will be on november 4th (the day prior the results).

If you are a short term investor, the best way to play would be to take your profit (25-40% sale of what you have) if you do not think they will make it to 125M$ in sales the day before reults are announced (being Nov 4th).

To me they will get over 125M$ and will stay as a long on MB.

ALERT TVI

For the past couple of weeks we have seen an increase in overall volume. Even if movement has been limited, we can appreciate the fact that more and more large blocks were bought by some investors.


At the same time, many penny flippers have quit the boat...and that is normal and great.

I think TVI is in the process of replacing many day traders with long term investors and we can see that reflected in a huge volume bought (unless i am totally wrong more than 75% were bought at ask price) and feeders were almost timed to add some 100' s of thousand shares whenever ask price was moving to another level (example from 0,115 to 0,12) and the reasonning is that they want to get out. Not because there is no future in TVI but money was already made. They have a well time logic and this is how they earn their living.

So i suspect that we will see in the coming days a share price movement bigger and bigger for the same volume of transactions. If that was to be the case, we should be out of the mud when we hit 0,13 and mid next week after the next shipment is announced seems probable (eralier would be great also...)

We are starting to see the effects of Rhonda marketing all around the world and as a matter of fact they are again in the USA this week (i believe) with i am sure many meetings with investors. She is definitely doing everything she can to push TVI story forward and remember that she as a great story to talk about. (won't go into details as you know how i feel about TVI and no i do not wear pink glasses tonigt). If you look at the charts (i know i am not a technical guy at least not actually due to market conditions) you will see that TVI is well above the 20, 50 and 200 moving average. Very bullish...Even american bulls issued a confirm BUY on oct 18th.

Rest of the week will tell the story but we can certainly appreciate the volume inrease recently. By the way OTCQX volume today was 425,900 and i would guess that many trades went directly to the TSX because of the OTCQX ask were higher.

Again i maybe wrong but last week a large block was sold (about 750K shares) to 1 customer (based upon the timing of the buy and the number of transaction at that time) but even then it repressents only 75K$.

Now imagine that during all those marketing meetings they were able to convice 1 or 2 hedge funds or institutions how would the share price react??? If they were only to invest 500K$ if would represents close to 5M shares at once. Now multiply by 2 or 3 large customers, well you get the picture.

Remember also that what investors (the large ones) have mentionned over the last couple of quarters was that TVI needed to increase mine life. This is exactly what happened when TVI bought the rights to explore the new Canatuan areas. So i believe that now is the time for them to get on board and THEY WILL. They can smell the odor of money miles around and TVI is a great investment for investors who can wait 1 or 2 years.

Even then, if you bought TVI at the end of august (60 days) you have already made 60% return on your investment. Not bad at all.

May it be the start of a great leg up??? I believe so.

Do not forget my friends at:

http://www.mystockbuddy.com/

lundi 25 octobre 2010

under the radar KBH BZH

Both of those companies are in top long term growth list but if job report was to get better than 425,000 they would be moved as a top pick for the remainder of this year and possibly into 2011 due to a great potential for share price growth.

ALERT MB

Based on volume and lack of resistance, MB is on the move.

WELCOME BACK MB

I am adding today MB to my picks for this year.

Originally i was awaiting to break the 0,55 barrier before getting back into this stock but based upon recent trading volume and indicators, we could very well be in for a surprise on Q3 results.

Volume is high and resistance is fading away past 0,54. So to wait till 0,55 could miss a great and sudden rally.

vendredi 22 octobre 2010

ALERT TVI

Tvi posted some interesting news yesterday regarding the drilling at their new properties and based upon wording in the original press release, it is very promising.

Look also at volume where it has increased a lot recently and at the ask giving me a great feeling on the week to come as more good NR are due: another shipment end of the month, Q3 releasing another very good quarter and maybe before Christmas an update on the zinc circuit, 43-101 on Balabag etc etc.

Still time to add some more shares.

ALERT PXLW

Another deceiving quarter and expectation for Q4 do not seems that bright either. If you have some profit to take it could be the time to do so.

ALERT BPOP

Finally a profit.

Results are a bit lower than expected as they still had a loss for the quarter but the sale of Evertec did had a great impact on their overal health.

At this moment i would take a break and see how market will react before committing more $$$. My feeling is that it will climb slowly but steadily. Wait for the 3,10$ before adding some more.

mercredi 20 octobre 2010

MARKET UPDATE

With the minor drop from yesterday, be careful.

I do not think it was the correction expected. So we may have 1 or 2 sessions in gain but i still expect a 4-5% correction before any major leg up.

You could use that upper dip to pocket some profits but not sure if it is the right time to get fully back in.

I would rather wait for a DOW dipping around 10,500 before getting fully back in.

lundi 18 octobre 2010

UPDATE YRCW

As expected guidance for Q3 is really good. I bit lower than expected at first but tonange is increasing. That is a very good sign.

Now in the final days before the teamster approve the new contract and then expect a good leg up.

It is a good time to accumulate. It did not went down as much as expected but still at a very good price.

As usual, this is a speculative play so do not invest more than what you can afford to lose.

vendredi 15 octobre 2010

NEW PLAY FBP

I have added a new play today as FBP is in my oponion one the endanger banks that have turned the corner. I expect a good leg up again today.

BUT NEVER INVEST MORE THAN YOU CAN AFOORD to loose especially on these very speculative play.

mercredi 13 octobre 2010

ALERT TVI

Volume is again picking up steam.

There is still a lot of shares to chrun moving from penny flippers to investors but it does look very good. I think TVI will be out of the actual trading range (0,095 to 0,11) the moment it hits 0,125 then watch out as this company has been undervalued too long not to increase suddently very rapidly.

ALERT LVS WFC

LVS could be loosing steam since this great leg up started some time ago. Since first recommended on Januray 1st of this year (actually march 2009) as a top pick for 2010 in climbed from 14,94 39,00$ yesterday for a whopping 160% return this year so far.

So it is normal to see it loosing a bit of steam. BUT expect it to reboud. If you sold some around 35$-36$ it may be time to put it back on your radar for the next oversold condition (dip)

WFC is still undervalued and based upon numbers from JP Morgan it may declare a great Q3 result coming also from the loan provision being much lower than anticipated recupering some hundred of million $ that were put aside for bad debt, but may still be short on the revenues increase. Remember that they close all of their canadian branches in june 2010 and also closed most of their us loan branches (high interest loan offices). Their numbers will be very interesting to look at. Revenues should increase in Q4 and they should be back on track for a great leg up early november and going well into 2011.

ALERT AC.B

Air Canada is now flirting at a double for this year.

I first added this stock at 2,18$ on march 28th and has been on the roll recently. Normally you should have taken some profit on dips and wait for best re-entry point like last week at 3,10 then bought back at 2,80.

If you dis so, you should be averaging about 1,35$ (buying low and selling at higher level did lower your actual cost per share).

My play now is to invest profit made into JAZ.UN a subsidiary of Air Canad that does pay a 0,60 cents dividend per year and that dividend has been confirmed to be paid even after the conversion to a company instead of an income trust. At these level it is close to 11% annual return as a dividend. This is really good and for this reason JAZ.UN has been added to my TOP LONG TERM GROWTH LIST

ALERT YRCWD

The volatility in YRCWD has begun (i was off by a couple of days) and i expect it to be constant until news is released about teamster signature that i still believe will happen by the end of this month. If it was to be rejected, it will means the end for YRCW and shares would become value less.

For the moment it is only PLAY money but as long as price goes down the risk reward is getting higher.

My real share value has not changed and actuallyYRCW is getting nailed by fears and no nes.

Couldl be a good time to accumulate but be very prudent about it as it could reverse in a blink of an eye.

DO NOT INVEST MORE THAT WHAT YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOOSE especially on this one actually. Also may note be a great idea to put a stop losse. You can buy some on the downward movement but be extremely careful.

vendredi 8 octobre 2010

UPDATE TVI

Yesterday news release was very very interesting.


1) It was a total surprise as everybody was awaiting Balabag plan or something with Dacon. No this release is about a totally new property very close to the actual mill facilitating transport of ore from the new area.

2) The payment made to gain the right to explore the area was relatively small for a sector already producing copper sold to China.

3) There are no delays in drilling. Near the end of this month drills will be on site.

There are no 43-101 for the new Canatuan area but the first % of copper, Au and Ag reading seems better than the actual (and originally expected) % from actual Canatuan. I do expect some drilling naturally to know where to concentrate first. And to me there is no need to pay huge $$$ just to produce a 43-101 just to have the right to call that ‘proven reserves’.

(see 43-101 for Canatuan in 2007 pages 24-90 and 96. See also original expectations for Canatuan on page 101)

Here is the link

http://www.tvipacific.com/Theme/TVI/files/doc_downloads/Canatuan%20NI%2043-101%20Technical%20Report.pdf

Actual Canatuan sits within the boundaries of MPSA 054-96-IX and is a 508Ha area.

IF the new area was to be the same quality overall and is 2000 Ha it is easy to see that it could be 4 times more profitable (gross revenues) or add 4 times more mine life than the original Canatuan for a total of 20 years mine life at actual tons per day drilling.

I cannot verify any 43-101 for the new area but by itself it means a great mine life extension for TVI no matter the % or territory. Was it to be lesser quality or a smaller area, there are no doubts that TVI has just added greater gross revenues and cost of production should not change that much except for ore transportation.

The coming weeks and months will be by far the best of TVI since many years.

Balabag report is coming followed by another solid Q3 report and then the 43-101 for Balabag sometime in November (as usual we could expect some delays as those firms work on their own schedule…)

What else can we ask for?

Not that long ago TVI was chained to a shark loan (but it did saved the company) and this was avoiding any new development plans outside of what was planned when the loan was signed. They had to repay it before going ahead with other projects.

Look at what happened in only 4 months! Very surprising.

Look where’s the debt now??? There is none. Remember that the actual so call debt is a revolving credit margin getting paid after each shipment is paid in full.

How many more of those surprise projects will we get? How many more JV’s are in the loop as of now? Do you really think that their credibility is bad out there?

Financial analysts wanted 100M cap to start covering TVI and mine life extension.

Well to my knowledge 50% of the job is already done and the other 50% is coming fast as being a 100M$ cap company is only about 0,20 cents.

Remember also that TVI is a company with close to 500M shares and volatility will still exist. Many are in this game to flip shares for 0,005 or 1 penny at the time and there is nothing wrong with that.

So will TVI shoot directly to 0,20 NO. It will get there with ups and downs as most of the stock do. Speculators are lightly replaced by investors over time.

Oh and by the way, it may be time to start having a bit more confidence in TVI management. I don’t know for you but I have not seen anything happen that was not planned recently.

Enjoy your long week-end

Do not forget to visit my friends at:

http://www.mystockbuddy.com/

jeudi 7 octobre 2010

ALERT TVI

Just off press:

Marketwire


TVI PACIFIC INC.

October 7, 2010 - 08:08:32 AM

TVI Pacific Acquires Rights to Exploration Property Near Canatuan Mine,

Including Drill-Ready Prospects

CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwire - Oct. 7, 2010) - TVI Pacific Inc.

(TSX:TVI)(OTCQX:TVIPF) ("TVI" or "the Company") today announced the

acquisition of rights to explore and subsequently acquire a highly prospective

Copper-Zinc-Gold (Cu-Zn-Au) property on the Zamboanga Peninsula, Mindanao

Island, Philippines. TVI's Philippine operating affiliate, TVI Resource

Development (Phils.), Inc. ("TVIRD"), has signed two agreements that cover a

total of 2,000 hectares (4,900 acres) both areas being located within MPSA No.

076-97-IX granted to Siennalynn Gold Mining Corp. (SGMC).

A reinterpretation of previous exploration data on the property from programs

conducted by major international mining companies, together with recent field

work conducted by TVIRD, has identified two types of exploration targets:

near- surface showings that could provide material for immediate trucking to

the Canatuan mill site; and deeper, potentially major hydrothermal deposits.

These targets could add additional ore sources and extend and expand TVI's

mining operations at Canatuan.

Click here to view Property Map and Location of Prospects

Immediate Benefits of the Acquisition

- Samples taken recently from small scale mine workings at the Pinili Prospect

show grades of up to 3.62% copper (Cu), 15.59% zinc (Zn) and 2.40g/t gold

(Au);

- Exploration data, including airborne and ground geophysical data acquired

along with the property, have been re-interpreted by geophysical consultants

and TVIRD geologists. Several immediately drillable prospects; namely, Pinili,

Nanao West and Nanao East lie within a short trucking distance of about 25

kilometers (15.5 miles) from TVI's operating mine at Canatuan; and

- The primary prospect, the Pinili Prospect, where small scale, high-grade

copper mining has taken place, has been identified for immediate drilling.

Exploration Plan

Drilling of the property is planned in two stages:

- Stage 1: a total drill program of about 1,200 metres (3,900 feet) will begin

in October 2010 to assess the extent and quality of the near-surface

mineralization.

-- 7 holes for a total of 500 metres (1,600 feet) at the Pinili Prospect; and

-- 1 hole each at the Nanao West and Nanao East Prospects for a total of 700

metres (2,296 feet).

- Stage 2: By mid-2011, approximately 3,000 meters (9,842 feet) of exploratory

drilling will be carried out on prospects that could host deeper hydrothermal

porphyry copper targets. These prospects include Bailos, Abueva, Tatfu, and

Rodrige.

Property Acquisition Summary

- The properties were acquired from SGMC and YZ Summit Mining Corp, ("YZ"), a

small-scale operator who had entered into an Operating Agreement with SGMC on

a portion of the Siennalyn MPSA and over the past two years was engaged in

mining for the purposes of direct shipping copper ore to China from two small

adits on the Pinili Prospect.

- TVIRD acquired the exploration rights over the property for an initial

consideration of US$1.2 million in cash, with the right to acquire a 100%

interest in the property at a subsequent time, in the event of a decision to

develop a mine.

Geology

The property is underlain by volcanic intrusive rocks which contain epithermal

and mesothermal auriferous quartz-sulphide veins. These veins have been the

target of small-scale gold operators over the past few years.

Near Surface Targets for Immediate Drill Program

Clast-supported hydrothermal breccias containing copper-zinc-lead (Cu-Zn-Pb)

sulphides and gold (Au) within areas of low-temperature alteration are exposed

in historical excavations at Siennalynn. Grades of up to 3.62% Cu, 15.59% Zn

and 2.40g/t Au in the breccia lodes located in the northern part of the

property have been identified as possible near-term feed for the Canatuan

plant. This area, called the Pinili Prospect area will be the subject of the

immediate drill program.

TVIRD mapping recently completed at the Pinili Prospect Adit 2 revealed that

the main mineralized breccia lode strikes WNW with steep dip directions

swinging from NE to SW. It is exposed for at least 85 meters (278 feet) along

the drift of Adit 2. The breccia lode is a structurally-emplaced body at least

2 meters (6.5 feet) wide where mapped, but the full width is not exposed in

Adit 2 and may therefore be greater. A low grade mineralized alteration halo

also exists around the main breccia lode. Where it was exposed at a crosscut

within Adit 2, an 8 metre (26 feet) thick zone grading 0.22% Cu (with trace

gold and zinc) was encountered. Drilling will allow determination of true

width and strike continuity of the Pinili breccia lode.

Potential Deeper Hydrothermal Deposits

Evidence of additional, larger and deeper mineralized targets of porphyry

mineralization is being identified using reprocessed geophysical data combined

with ground prospecting recently completed by TVIRD. Mineralization is

extensive but outcrop exposure is limited requiring further follow-up. These

prospects are Bailos, Abueva, Tatfu, Rodrige, Nanao West and Nanao East.

Previous airborne magnetic survey data outlined a large alteration zone of

quartz-clay-sulphide-iron oxide in the central part of the project area.

Reprocessing of this magnetic survey data revealed a core alteration zone 2

Kilometres by 1.5 Kilometres (1.2 miles by 1 mile) of low magnetic intensity

surrounded by magnetic volcanic rocks. Surface mapping of this alteration zone

has outlined several mineralized areas of quartz-sulphide breccias and

hematitic altered rocks.

Soil geochemical anomalies coincident with ground IP and magnetic survey

anomalies from previous investigations occur along the margin of the

alteration core. Ground prospecting follow-up by TVIRD has identified several

potential drill targets; namely, Bailos, Abueva, Tatfu and Rodrige. Of these

prospects, Bailos has been traced over 1 kilometer (0.6 miles) in length.

Further exploration including trenching, mapping and sampling will be carried

out to better pinpoint the drill targets.

Cesar Medina, Exploration Manager of TVIRD, is acting as the Qualified Person

in compliance with NI 43-101 reporting requirements with respect to this news

release by virtue of Mr. Medina's membership of the Australasian Institute of

Mining and Metallurgy (AusIMM) and the reciprocity rules covered under ROPO

(Recognized Overseas Professional Organizations). He has prepared and/or

supervised the preparation of the scientific or technical information in this

document and confirms compliance with NI 43-101 requirements. TVIRD's

exploration programs are designed and conducted under the supervision of Mr.

Medina.

Peter Swiridiuk of AIMEX Geophysics, Gold Coast, Australia and Graeme Mackee

of Geo Discovery Group Pty. Ltd., Brisbane, Australia have been engaged by

TVIRD as consultants for the re-processing and interpretation of the airborne

and ground geophysical data acquired by Placer in late 1990s. Messrs.

Swiridiuk and Mackee are also Qualified Persons in compliance with NI 43-101

reporting requirements.

mercredi 6 octobre 2010

MARKET ALERT

We are around a correction. Most of winenrs are at the overbought signal. Expect a 5-8% correction soon.

Remember LVS that i was talking about yesterday: it sanks 1$ today.

Time to lock in some of your profit and get ready for the next great entry point 48 hours after the correction achieve a 5%. Until it reaches 5% it is not a correction. For example LVS needs to be another 1$ under MINIMUM to achieve his bottom.

Easy trick, take your profit and then put in your buy order with a 1 week delay. DO NOT FORGET to verify each day where market is going and react acconrdingly to avoid buying in the middle of the correction.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to loose.

PS: Have you seen the great volume on TVI today? Is there something brewing?

mardi 5 octobre 2010

URGENT UPDATE YRCWD

Based upon a conference call tonight, expect high volatility tomorrow. WAIT UNTIL IT SETTLES before doing any move as it could hit a new 52 weeks low.

It seems that a 300M$ swap is coming diluting the shares at over a 60% rate if numbers are correct. Note also that this number has already been mentionned.

If this is the case shares could plunge to record low tomorrow on early trading time.

That beeing the case, it could be a great speculative move but again be extra careful and DO NOT invest more than you can afford to lose.

UPDATE MB

MB is making a come back to my top 2010 picks if it breaks the 0,55.

Sound very promising for 2011.

Wait for the final update and welcome to the top picks

ALERT LVS

Get ready for a pull back soon fro about 10-15% intraday.

Does not seem probalble to substain that rhytm unless a new floor is created.

NEW SPECULATIVE PLAY FBP

Do you find the market boring and need some high adrenaline???

FBP  First Bancorp in Puerto Rico.

I have laready BPOP in my top 10 picks but FBP could be very high risk / reward if you have some profit to speculate.

With a value per share higher than it's trading price, it will be a make or break.

By playing this one in a very technical way and taking profit whenever it does gives you a 30% return, it could well play another great play as YRCW did. (remember the alert when it went down to 0,11 cents ???)

Well, this one seems to follow the same path. Entry point between 0,27 and 0,30 and stop losse around 0,19

The game is on but again never invest in those stock more than you can afford to loose. Quick money can reverse rapidly in quick losses

MARKET UPDATE

Did you took some gain ???

Most of the time october brings in a correction and even if i expect that one to be in the 5-8% range it is alwasy a good habit to grab some gains and wait for the next entry points.

This represents a 10% change in share price and even if it does nto close at that level, you can buy back shares at intra day well under the closing value.

Do not get too greedy. If you made the profit you wanted, get some off the table and be patient. It may takes 1 or 2 weeks but a certain correction will come.

It is always sad to think that gains were made but only to realize that you never make money by buying stocks but money is made when you sell.

You made your 30%...get the profit and wait for the next re-entry point. Even if the stock goes higher be patient. NOBODY has even been bankrupted by making profit...

So the rule is simple: get your 30% off then wait for a 10% pullback. Believe me it works great!

lundi 4 octobre 2010

UPDATE YRCWD

YRCW is now trading for the next 4 weeks under ticker name YRCWD.

With this 25 to 1 reverse split it may gives the impression that this company is going down but...

Expect higher volatility for the next 10-15 days and may gives a good entry point below the old 0,20 (now at 5$ level)

But be carefull. The company mention they could try to get some more $ invested and this could dilute again the shareholder actual value.

On the bright side, they will not get delisted and teamsters should signed the new work contract. With Q3 that i believed was a good quarter (not great but good) it will give plenty of good occasions to cash in some profit.

I would only lower my % of profit before cashing in. Instead of 33-50% gain  i would start cashing on a 20-25% return. Be careful not to let too much on the table!