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mardi 8 mai 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY UWN (Nevada Gold & Casinos)

I have no choice than coming back to this tiny very interesting company because at this level it is a GREAT play.

It will be really interesting to see what the new acquisition will bring in, profit wise, but in the meantime, it is actually well undervalued and oversold.

I will get in at the current level and out over 1,40$

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your due diligence before investing in any stock.

Get the PLAY OF THE DAY on Twitter: @investman2

lundi 7 mai 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY YLO.TO (Yellow Media)

This is a fascinating story but on the wrong side...

This is the story of a 14$ stock (before converting to a regular company from an income fund) that was paying great dividend but crumble under debt and pressure in the printed media business.

Since a year, it has seen it's value decline by almost 99% but it was before one of the most profitable business in Canada.

I would also guess that not that long ago, everybody was under the impression that YLO would disappear BUT in the last quarter it generated a profit of 6 cents per share after a loss of over 2B$ in the previous quarter.

YLO will be releasing the Q1 results tomorrow and based upon the way stock trend actually, momentum is coming back on the 3 different stocks that you can buy:   

Regular stock YLO
preferred YLO.PR.A
preferred YLO.PR.B

The preferred shares can be exchanged, at company discretion, for regular shares.

Personnally i do not think that YLO is done. The transition to an electronic media company from the original printed media has been very difficult but i suspect it is on track to get it done right.

If that is the case, expect a super leg up from YLO effective tomorrow after their results release.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in any stock.

Get the play of the day on Twitter: @investman2

vendredi 4 mai 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY BAC (Bank of America)

This is a very good time to get into this one as BAC is absolutely undervalued and i think we could see a great rally toward the 9,00$ very rapidly.

It is stitting actually right on the 8,00$ mark (tested with success many times)  but it is under it's 50 days moving average. I will get in now but will add a stop losses at 7,60 because if it breaks down below 7,60$, the next stop would be 7,00$.

Actually this is one of the rare bank valued at less than 50% of the book value and this is odd. Would i consider this one as too big too fail???

No, i would consider this one as too big NOT to succeed.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in any stock.

Get the PLAY OF THE DAY on Twitter: @investman2   

jeudi 3 mai 2012

ALERT DRL

Finally DRL seems to have bottomed. Since beginning of this week, it has seen it's share price drop from 1,91 to a low 1,63$.

If my forecast is correct, it will be reporting a very good Q1 2012 and it could send back the share into the 2$ range for a very nice profit.

Naturally, any bad results will send back shares into the 1,35 to 1,50$ range. So caution is needed here but the reward potential is huge.

PLAY OF THE DAY GW.TO (Garda World Security)

Very interesting company with good revenues and undervalued with a P/E of only 11.

Not the fastest mover in the stock world actually but lots of potential to be developped especially in Europe. Their business is into security so whenever things are getting challenging for customers, this is where GW gets into the action.

I will get in at around 7,50$.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in any stock.

get the PLAY OF THE DAY on Twitter:  @investman2

mercredi 2 mai 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY KBH (Kb Homes)

Well as confirmed again this morning with Q1 release from Beazer Homes (BZH) sales in the home market are improving a lot. They are still contemplating future with some caution in regard of future growth but still...

KBH is a great example of undervalued company and if lucky enough it could dip to around 8,50$ this morning.

I will be in at 8,50$ and out near 9,25$

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or any other stock.

Get the play of the day on Twitter:  @investman2

mardi 1 mai 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY BPOP (Banco Popular)

Today will be very interesting  as i expect high volatility for this stock. BPOP has confirmed that it will be doing a reverse stock split 10 to 1 on the last day of May.

As usual the reverse stocks split normally do not work to the favor of the actual shareholders and i suspect that volume will be in the 15M range instead of their usual 8.5M average.

The rational behing the split is correct and value of the stock will correct itself within 30-60 days after the split takes effect but for the coming weeks, it will be very interesting to watch.

I will be in around 1,60 as this would mean largely undervalue for this stock that should be trading near 3$.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or any stock. 

lundi 30 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY DRL (Doral Financial)

Yes, i am back with DRL for a second time. Here is why:

Last time it did made a good jump from 1,79 to 1,87 and profit was good in only a couple of days BUT this time, DRL will be announcing their results on wednesday and this could be a really surprising quarter as it had an overpayment in income taxes that they will have to reverse into profit and at the same time it will increase greatly their capital ratios. I would not be surprised to see DRL jump as high as 2,35$ on wednesday or thursday.

So, this is a great occasion to buy on the dip either today or tomorrow and get ready for a great profit % in a few days. I will get in near 1,79 and hold on until near 2,35$. This should be a massive winner.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or any other stocks.

Get the play of the day on Twitter: @investman2

vendredi 27 avril 2012

Is Ortsbo from INT really worth 210M$

THAT COMPANY SEEMS TO BE AN EMPTY SHELL AS OF NOW AND INVESTORS LOST THEIR SHIRTS ON THIS ONE" REMEMBER THE NAME OF THE BOARD MEMBERS FOR FUTURE REFERENCE"

The latest value that INT (Intertainment Media) assigned to Orstbo was 210M$ for a translator plug in that works perfectly even if at this time it is still having some minor glitchs when trying to translate local expressions in most languages.

(By the way, they are actually working on a wiki type of dictionary that will fix most of the problem.)

Actually on the last reading (end of 2011) Orstbo had acquired 107M users and the speed at which they are increasing that user number is absolutely incredible to the point that i would not be surprised to see another 25-30% increase at the end of March 2012. And i am not even mentionning mobile users numbers.

So when looking at value per user ( December 2011) at around 2$,  that is way too low based upon market value for other companies in the social media arena.

Sure the revenues per user are not that fantastic at this time but it is absolutely the right thing to do to have such a great number of users that advertising companies will be willing and begging to get in and pay a right price to advertise.

Imagine for a second that INT would have done the opposite: increase revenues per user and forget user number expansion. The result: each user would be targetted so many times a day that it would be annoying to them to the point that most users would only get rid of the application. Simply imagine a fantastic application on which 3/4 or the displayed page is reserved to advertising and 1/4 for the app. That would not make sense.

Think about Angry Bird: imagine that each time you shoot, an add would pop-up...

No, INT did the best thing for Ortsbo and don't see any reason why this coming company could not be valued more than 1B$ (yes 1,000,000,000$). They have the user base growing faster than Facebook, they have a fantastic app that translate instantly in 53 different languages and this is only the beginning.

As for the total value of INT, well at this time even if it was only for Orstbo, it's value is definitely a lot more than 50 cents. Do not forget all the other start up companies that they have invested in (too many to list them all here) and it is a no brainer that INT value is a lot more than Ortsbo.

Here is an excerpt from The Washington Post explaining one of the reason why Facebook paid 1B$ for Instagram. By reading it i am sure that it will pop up some ideas about other INT divisions and how they could easily be assembled together to form the next Instagram company to be bought out by either Facebook, Twitter, Google, Microsoft, Nokia...the list of potential buyers is again too long to list themn all.

(From the Washington Post)

Facebook’s $1 billion acquisition of Instagram is a clear sign that Facebook, at least, is taking the rapid shift to mobile platforms seriously. While the social network has one of the most popular apps on the market, the company is still centered around the desktop experience and has admitted that it’s a little concerned about its mobile strategy.

In fact, it paid out twice as much as Instagram’s last estimated value to snap up the photo start-up — possibly because it’s a purely mobile application.

Guy Rosen, the chief executive of Onavo, which monitors mobile data, said the acquisition is “definitely a huge milestone for mobile.” There hasn’t been an acquisition this large of something purely mobile, he said, but the Facebook acquisition recognizes that “Instagram is on to something, on to what it means to be viral,” he said.

Apart from viral appeal, though, Instagram has the loyalty of a growing community of creative people that distinguishes it from other flash-in-the-pan fads such as Color, another photo-sharing app that launched to much fanfare and failed to gain traction, prompting a redesign only months later.

In its two years, however, Instagram has grown on the iOS platform and recently opened its community to Android users. The service now has 30 million users — up from 5 million in June — and the app is the sixth-most downloaded iOS application, according to Onavo’s numbers. That means it shows up on roughly one of every 10 iPhones.

“It’s the most popular social network apart from Facebook and Twitter [when it comes to apps], and the only mobile-only network,” Rosen said. “You can see how Facebook is really trying to address this gap by tapping into Instagram.”

Michael Scissons, president and chief executive of the social marketing firm Syncapse, said that Facebook is smart to look to Instagram and attempt to capture the creativity of its users in the same way.

“This is part of Facebook's. . . strategy toward making Web their own,” he said. “And it is based on users building their own content.”

Scissons said that he believes Instagram will become a core part of Facebook, which has said in the past that photos are a vital part of its social network. He also believes that the social network will do its best to keep the spirit of the photo service intact to keep its fans coming back and to keep Instagram’s talent happy.

“If you pay $1 billion for that team, there’s a strong probability that it will remain independent,” he said, drawing comparisons to Google’s acquisition of YouTube.




PLAY OF THE DAY RF (Regions Financial)

Very interesting bank. No exposure to Europe and getting stronger and stronger. Only dark cloud at this time is the fact they they will issue aabout 150M shares to repay TARP but because it has been approved, it is almost a sign that the US agency confirm that the bank is now solid as a rock.

So this is a perfect play on the next down dip. I will get in at around 6,49$ and exit at 6,98$ for a great 9% profit.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or any other stock.

jeudi 26 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY LVS (Las Vegas Sands)

They had another great quarter and what is happening right now is profit taking. Look at the chart and you will see that they had a fantastic run.

This is a perfect one to buy on the dip and below 57$ it is a great one to have. Naturally i will wait a bit for market to stabilize at open and hope to get it even cheaper for its next run to 60$.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own diligence before investing in this stock or any other stock.

mercredi 25 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY UWN (Nevada Gold and Casino)

UWN has a new route for slot machines and revenues will only quick in this quarter. This is a stock that has a low daily transaction volume and normally i would not consider this one for that reason BUT with the recent events and the very low actual price, it makes it a good candidate for a solid return in only a matters of a few days.

I will get in at 1,40$ -1,45$ and exit after 1,60$ for a nice 10% + return. Now that stock has a lot of upside potential if you want to stick around a bit longer as i expect this one to be close to 2$ in the near future.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or any other stock.

Get the PLAY OF THE DAY  on Twitter:  @investman2  

mardi 24 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY F (Ford)

At current level this is a steal. With the credit upgrade from Finch Today (up to investment quality BB+) finally Ford is starting to be recognized for what they really are: a great car company that never took a dime from US government and was able to ride the 2007-2010 great recession by themselves. Ford did not dilute any investors and did not went to the bankruptcy procedure to get rid of their problems. They found their way out and now their balance sheet  is a great one. They are also building a new plant in China to increase production to 1,2M vehicles per year.

So i would get in at 11,60$ and out aroung 14,00$. This play may be a bit longer than usual but it is worth it.

As usual DO NOT INVEST more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in that stock or any stock.

lundi 23 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY RSH (Radio Shack)

This is a very undervalued company and the recent drop was based upon only 1 bad quarter.

I will get in around 5,85$ and exit around 6,50$ for a nice profit. Today it seems that market will be really ugly. SO take the time and wait for the right price. With a bit of luck and nervous selling, price could end up lower than 5,85$.

As usual do not invest money you cannot afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or any stock.

Get the PLAY OF THE DAY on twitter: @investman2

vendredi 20 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY MPEL (Melcro Crown Entertainment)

In the casino business MPEL is an underdog. The shares are now trading at a near 52 weeks high but a lot of potential to grab. This one is a very volatile stock so get in at actual market today (near 15,33$) and get out before end of day for a nice profit as it should be trading around 15,75$.

As usual DO NOT INVEST MORE THAN YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or any stock.

Get the play of the day on Twitter: @investman2

jeudi 19 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY UUU (Uranium one)

Great potential for upside with an entry point at 3,02 - 3,04.

UUU is one of the great uranium producer an it's production is on the rise and their cost is lowering.

Great play.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or any stock.

get the PLAY OF THE DAY on twitter: @investman2

mercredi 18 avril 2012

THE PLAY OF THE DAY DRL (Doral Financial)

This will be very interesting as this little bank in Puerto Rico has the potential to give a great return in a very short period of time. IMO they will be reporting a profit increase on their next quarterly report but most important is the fact that they will also book a large credit that will have a good impact on tier 1 and other capital ratio.

I am a buyer under 1,63 and a seller over 1,79

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own DD before investing.

Get this on twitter:  @investman2

mardi 17 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY BZH(Beazer Homes)

This is one of the underdogs in housing and with this morning releases about home builds and permits, i would not be surprised to see another small drop. New home starts were not that good in march so looking for Q1 to be a bit lower BUT new permits did show an increase that let me thinks that Q2 will be much much better.

So BZH between 2,75$ to 2,80$ is a good play with an exit point around 3,19$.

I will be monitoring this one very carefully and pull the trigger after market stabilizes.

As usual DO NOT invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence before investing in this stock or in any stock.

You can get the PLAY OF THE DAY also on twitter:   @investman2

lundi 16 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY DAN (Dana Holding Corp)

This is a great play and can be kept a bit longer than usual.

Very undervalued as it should be trading nearing 16$. Good gains to be made there.

As usual do not invest more than you can afford to lose and always do your own due diligence.

Get the PLAY OF THE DAY on Twitter   @investman2

vendredi 13 avril 2012

PLAY OF THE DAY FBP(First Bancorp Puerto Rico)

I will be getting in around 4,05$ and out at around 4,30$. Very solid bank and the one with the best equity per share.

As usual DO NOT INVEST MORE THAN YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE.

PS: Happy with WPX (Western Potash)...Wait until today results.